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Entry 70Filed under Breeding

Breed Restrictions in 2026: Progress, Setbacks and What the Evidence Actually Shows

England and Wales added the XL Bully to the banned list while some US localities repealed bans. Here is what each source claims, and what the evidence can't yet show.
7-minute read By Animalso Team

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The fight against breed restrictions is moving in two directions at once. In England and Wales, the XL Bully type was added to the Dangerous Dogs Act’s banned list, so restrictions there have grown. In parts of the United States, some cities and counties have repealed local bans, according to an advocacy group’s tally. Underneath both stories sits the same unresolved problem: no source reviewed for this article offers an independently validated, cross-jurisdiction measurement showing whether breed-specific rules reduce dog attacks.

This article separates what the law currently requires, what governments claim, what independent bodies have criticised, and what is merely advocacy. It is strongest on the XL Bully regime in England and Wales. It does not provide a world map of breed laws, and nothing here should be applied to Scotland, Northern Ireland, the US or other countries without checking local rules.

The question at the centre of the dispute

The real argument is not simply “ban versus no ban”. It is this: do restrictions on particular breeds or types improve public safety enough to justify their costs in evidence, enforcement, housing and animal welfare, and what alternatives deserve testing? The main institutions disagree, and each position below belongs to a specific source rather than to a consensus.

Source Role Position
UK Government (formal response, 2026) Author of the policy The legislation “remains an important part of protecting the public from dog attacks, within a wider approach to responsible dog ownership.”
Animal Sentience Committee (August 2025) Independent statutory advisory body Data were inadequate for policy makers to understand the welfare impact of adding the XL Bully to Section 1.
House of Commons Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee (2018) Parliamentary scrutiny, before the XL Bully listing Government arguments for breed-specific legislation were “not substantiated by robust evidence.”
American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA) Veterinary professional body Breed alone is not an appropriate basis for predicting an individual dog’s aggression; breed-specific legislation is an unreliable bite-prevention tool.
AKC Government Relations Advocacy organisation Reports local repeals and state pre-emption laws; its figures are advocacy-sourced.

Where restrictions have grown: the XL Bully in England and Wales

The clearest current case is the addition of the XL Bully type to Section 1 of the Dangerous Dogs Act. The government’s formal response explains that Section 1 prohibits owning, breeding, gifting and selling listed types, while Section 3 applies to any dog that is dangerously out of control, whatever its breed. The government says the XL Bully was added after an unacceptable increase in attacks in which the type was disproportionately involved.

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What owners must do now

These rules apply in England and Wales only, and they have changed several times, so confirm against the live GOV.UK guidance (last updated 1 October 2026) before relying on any summary, including this one.

Requirement Status under current GOV.UK guidance
Certificate of Exemption Owning or possessing an XL Bully without a valid certificate is an offence.
Lead and muzzle in public Required for exempt dogs. Guidance recommends a muzzle that does not inhibit panting, breathing or drinking.
Secure containment Exempt dogs must be kept securely.
Selling, breeding, giving away, transferring Prohibited.
Neutering deadlines Passed.
Public liability insurance No longer required from 1 July 2026.
Child supervision From 1 November 2026, an adult must supervise a child under 12 who is in close contact with an XL Bully in a private place.

On the muzzle: fit depends on the individual dog, and no muzzle is government-approved by virtue of being sold for this purpose. A basket-style design is the usual way to meet the “panting, breathing and drinking” guidance, but check the fit with the dog standing, panting and drinking.

The government’s numbers, and what they can’t tell you

In its 2026 formal response, the government reported:

  • more than 57,000 owners registered dogs under the exemption scheme;
  • 406 dogs were euthanised with compensation claimed;
  • £9.5 million was provided for kennelling and veterinary costs.

These are programme counts reported by the body that designed the programme. They show the scale of administration. They are not an estimate of attack risk, a measure of deterrence, or proof that the policy worked. The response adds that a Responsible Dog Ownership taskforce is working on education and better data collection, which implicitly concedes that the data are still being built.

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The independent critique

The Animal Sentience Committee’s August 2025 report is the most substantial scrutiny of the XL Bully decision. Its conclusion was that “because of the lack of adequate data to provide a sound evidence base for this decision, policy makers were unable to fully understand the impact of the policy decision on the welfare of dogs when adding the XL Bully to Section 1 of the DDA.”

The committee also found that actual exemptions exceeded initial estimates, contributing to greater-than-anticipated welfare impacts. It named three welfare consequences: seizure, prolonged kennelling, and lifelong behavioural restrictions. It called for clearer responsibility between bodies and for comprehensive dog-incident data.

It is important to read this precisely. The committee criticised the evidence base and the welfare assessment. It did not find that the law failed to reduce attacks, and nothing in these sources shows that it did or didn’t.

Other breeds: no expansion for now

A parliamentary answer dated 23 September 2025 said the government had no plans to add the further breed types named in the question to Section 1, while noting that any dog dangerously out of control is covered by law. That is a statement of intent on one date, not a permanent commitment.

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The case against breed-specific rules

The 2018 parliamentary view

The Commons EFRA Committee’s 2018 report called breed-specific legislation inconsistent and said the government’s arguments for it were “not substantiated by robust evidence.” It recommended a review, an independent evidence assessment, education, early intervention, stronger sanctions for offenders and consolidation of the legal framework, including breed-neutral dog-control alternatives. These findings predate the 2024 XL Bully listing. They are earlier criticism of the general approach, not an evaluation of that later policy, and they are not current law.

The veterinary view

The AVMA’s public guidance says: “Remember, it’s not a dog’s breed that influences whether the animal will bite, but rather the dog’s individual history and behavior.” It calls breed-specific legislation unreliable or ineffective as a bite-prevention solution and emphasises individual history, owner responsibility and prevention.

This is a professional position about predicting and preventing bites. It does not say that dog size or the severity of injuries is irrelevant to policy, and it is not proof that every restriction fails in every setting.

Where restrictions have been rolled back: US examples

The available source for US repeals is AKC Government Relations’ own advocacy analysis, so treat the figures as that group’s account. It describes local repeals including Wyandotte County in 2019 and Denver in 2020, and says 19 states had enacted breed-neutral pre-emption laws (laws that stop local governments passing breed-specific bans) as of its 2021 analysis. That count is dated and unverified here; state law may have changed since.

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The same analysis reports that Wyandotte County Animal Services spent a quarter of its $1 million annual budget enforcing the old ban. That is one reported local figure from an advocacy source, not a general estimate of what bans cost.

These examples show a direction of travel in some US jurisdictions. They do not show that bite injuries rose or fell afterwards, and they say nothing about other countries.

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Breed-specific versus breed-neutral: what to compare

The sources do not contain a controlled comparison between the two models, so no approach can be declared the winner. They do point to the questions any fair comparison has to answer:

Axis Why it matters
Incident data Are bites recorded consistently, with breed or type, circumstances and severity? Both the Animal Sentience Committee and the government’s taskforce point to gaps here.
What is regulated Breed or type, observed behaviour, owner conduct, or a mix. Section 1 targets type; Section 3 targets behaviour.
Outcome measured Which safety outcome, over what period, against what baseline. Registrations and euthanasia counts are not safety outcomes.
Enforcement burden Classification disputes, shelter capacity and kennelling load.
Welfare consequences Seizure, prolonged kennelling and lifelong restrictions for dogs; ownership and housing consequences for owners.
Prevention tools Whether education, early intervention, training and sanctions exist and are applied consistently.

What alternatives are proposed

The alternatives in these sources are breed-neutral. The 2018 Commons committee proposed education, early intervention, stronger sanctions for offenders and a consolidated legal framework. The AVMA stresses owner responsibility, prevention and attention to an individual dog’s history and behaviour. The UK government itself says the taskforce on responsible dog ownership is working on education and improved data collection, so even the defenders of the current law are leaning on prevention and data.

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None of these sources provides evidence that the alternatives outperform breed-specific rules. They are proposals to be tested, and testing them requires the consistent incident data that critics say does not yet exist.

Progress and challenges, honestly scored

Progress

  • Independent bodies and professional groups have made the evidence question central to the debate.
  • Some US localities have repealed bans, per AKC’s account, and the UK government has committed to better data collection.
  • UK owner conditions have been eased in places, with the insurance requirement ending on 1 July 2026.

Challenges

  • England and Wales moved the other way by adding a type to the banned list, with a scheme that went well beyond initial exemption estimates.
  • Without comparable incident data, neither side can demonstrate its case, and the welfare costs of seizure and kennelling are hard to weigh against safety gains nobody has measured.
  • The best repeal evidence comes from an advocacy group and is dated.
  • Rules differ by country, state, county and city, so one jurisdiction’s experience cannot be assumed to carry over.

If you own, adopt or plan to travel with a dog of a type that might be restricted, check the current law of the exact place, since local rules and guidance change.

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